Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.018403 0.019850 0.021356 0.023042 0.024877 0.026816 0.029021
2025-10-26 0.015913 0.017978 0.020241 0.022908 0.025972 0.029391 0.033503
2025-11-02 0.014309 0.016731 0.019486 0.022863 0.026904 0.031604 0.037507
2025-11-09 0.012932 0.015539 0.018597 0.022465 0.027250 0.033006 0.040498
2025-11-16 0.011830 0.014548 0.017818 0.022067 0.027476 0.034176 0.043173
2025-11-23 0.011062 0.013886 0.017364 0.021994 0.028040 0.035732 0.046359
2025-11-30 0.010362 0.013250 0.016880 0.021818 0.028419 0.037022 0.049222
2025-12-07 0.009776 0.012713 0.016477 0.021699 0.028833 0.038343 0.052161
2025-12-14 0.009234 0.012196 0.016058 0.021518 0.029127 0.039486 0.054884
2025-12-21 0.008833 0.011841 0.015828 0.021565 0.029716 0.041041 0.058250
2025-12-28 0.008414 0.011434 0.015499 0.021446 0.030048 0.042229 0.061128
2026-01-04 0.008063 0.011101 0.015252 0.021420 0.030496 0.043588 0.064313
2026-01-11 0.007721 0.010776 0.015016 0.021423 0.031025 0.045148 0.067995
2026-01-18 0.007387 0.010449 0.014762 0.021387 0.031496 0.046653 0.071700
2026-01-25 0.007083 0.010147 0.014526 0.021360 0.031969 0.048174 0.075514
2026-02-01 0.006708 0.009721 0.014086 0.020993 0.031889 0.048820 0.077933
2026-02-08 0.006361 0.009321 0.013661 0.020625 0.031778 0.049395 0.080252
2026-02-15 0.006117 0.009063 0.013439 0.020557 0.032133 0.050727 0.083912
2026-02-22 0.005867 0.008784 0.013167 0.020393 0.032318 0.051780 0.087147
2026-03-01 0.005646 0.008539 0.012939 0.020284 0.032580 0.052965 0.090672
2026-03-08 0.005426 0.008286 0.012683 0.020116 0.032730 0.053960 0.093909
2026-03-15 0.005267 0.008122 0.012562 0.020160 0.033236 0.055585 0.098387
2026-03-22 0.005083 0.007911 0.012355 0.020049 0.033467 0.056735 0.102044